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2024-12-14 11:32:15

Let's briefly talk about yesterday's personal pension and heavy meeting that exceeded expectations, as well as the impact on A shares. Of course, it is purely personal and for reference only!Generally speaking, I will pay attention to one point today. Let's see if we can stand at 3489.78 points at the close. If we stand up, it will be dangerous, and the daily line will have a double deviation structure! If you can't stand up, then the small high point suppression still exists here, and the market will continue to fluctuate and adjust the structure with great probability! Just remember one thing, don't chase after short-term gains!First of all, personal pension is also a long-term positive, but the short-term stock of funds is limited. With more and more people participating, the scale of funds will expand accordingly, and the high probability will become a big boost for A shares. After all, this batch of funds is difficult to withdraw, and it is also a typical long-term fund.


Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.Yesterday, A-shares were still a scene of the resonance of individual stocks and indexes falling back in early trading. As a result, when the news of personal pension at 11 o'clock came out, the market directly exploded! Big finance, which directly benefited, took the lead, not only pulled up the index, but also continued to repair the stocks in the afternoon. Yesterday, it rose again and broke the curse of Black Thursday.Recently, domestic-funded institutions have made a large net outflow continuously, and the entry of mysterious funds is not continuous. Therefore, Lao Liu judged that once the incremental funds are insufficient to follow the trend, the market is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, so don't chase after it in the short term, especially in terms of consumption!


Today, we will continue to wait and see, and now we will wait, or wait for the volume to break through a new high, and then follow the funds to play a new direction; Either wait for the initiative to retreat and digest the daily deviation pressure, and then look for a low-sucking opportunity!Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.

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